IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Norfolk St.
Mid-Eastern
2018-19

Overall
Predictive Rating	-6.1	#277
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	70.7	#133
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-3.3	#263

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-2.9	#276

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	31.2%	52.7%	30.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.8	15.2	15.8

.500 or above	64.5%	91.8%	64.1%
.500 or above in Conference	91.7%	97.4%	91.6%
Conference Champion	34.7%	54.5%	34.4%
Last Place in Conference	0.6%	0.0%	0.7%

First Four	23.2%	22.2%	23.2%
First Round	18.5%	41.5%	18.1%
Second Round	0.5%	2.8%	0.4%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Michigan (Away) - 1.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0.0 - 1.1	0.0 - 1.1
Quad 1b	0.0 - 0.9	0.0 - 2.0
Quad 2	0.2 - 1.7	0.2 - 3.6
Quad 3	1.0 - 3.2	1.2 - 6.9
Quad 4	13.7 - 6.3	14.9 - 13.1

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2018	19	@ Michigan	L	58-78	2%
Nov 13, 2018	61	@ South Carolina	L	63-78	5%
Nov 16, 2018	284	Siena	W	70-69	51%
Nov 17, 2018	222	Stony Brook	L	68-71	41%
Nov 27, 2018	222	Stony Brook	L	68-71	52%
Nov 29, 2018	240	Hampton	L	75-77	55%
Dec 01, 2018	159	@ Kent St.	L	70-77	20%
Dec 12, 2018	110	@ Rider	L	74-84	13%
Dec 16, 2018	67	@ Loyola Chicago	L	62-76	7%
Dec 21, 2018	249	@ UTEP	L	70-71	36%
Dec 22, 2018	153	East Tennessee St.	L	66-73	28%
Dec 29, 2018	268	@ Niagara	L	79-80	39%
Jan 05, 2019	351	Delaware St.	W	74-63	88%
Jan 07, 2019	352	Florida A&M	W	76-64	89%
Jan 12, 2019	345	@ Coppin St.	W	73-65	67%
Jan 14, 2019	299	Bethune-Cookman	W	82-80	65%
Jan 19, 2019	353	@ Savannah St.	W	92-80	77%
Jan 21, 2019	348	@ South Carolina St.	W	80-71	70%
Jan 26, 2019	341	Maryland Eastern Shore	W	73-66	81%
Feb 02, 2019	305	@ Howard	W	78-76	47%
Feb 09, 2019	299	@ Bethune-Cookman	W	82-80	46%
Feb 11, 2019	352	@ Florida A&M	W	76-64	77%
Feb 16, 2019	302	NC Central	W	69-67	65%
Feb 18, 2019	347	N.C. A&T	W	78-69	84%
Feb 23, 2019	339	@ Morgan St.	W	76-70	61%
Mar 02, 2019	345	Coppin St.	W	73-65	82%
Mar 04, 2019	351	@ Delaware St.	W	74-63	74%
Mar 07, 2019	305	Howard	W	78-76	66%
Projected Record						14.9 - 13.1	11.4 - 4.6

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st											0.1	0.8	3.5	8.5	10.5	8.3	2.9		34.7	1st
2nd										0.0	0.8	4.3	7.9	5.6	1.2	0.0			20.0	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.6	4.1	5.9	3.2	0.6	0.0				14.4	3rd
4th								0.0	0.3	3.1	4.5	2.1	0.2						10.3	4th
5th								0.1	1.5	3.5	1.5	0.1							6.7	5th
6th							0.0	0.8	2.4	1.4	0.2								4.8	6th
7th						0.0	0.4	1.7	1.4	0.1									3.6	7th
8th					0.0	0.1	0.9	1.0	0.2										2.3	8th
9th				0.0	0.1	0.4	0.7	0.3	0.0										1.4	9th
10th				0.0	0.2	0.5	0.3	0.0											1.0	10th
11th			0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0												0.5	11th
12th		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0													0.3	12th

Total		0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	1.1	2.3	3.9	5.9	8.8	11.2	13.3	14.8	14.7	11.7	8.4	2.9			Total

Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	2.9		2.9
15-1	99.6%	8.3		7.7	0.7	0.0
14-2	89.4%	10.5		8.0	2.4	0.1
13-3	57.7%	8.5		4.5	3.3	0.8	0.0
12-4	23.9%	3.5		0.9	1.6	0.9	0.1	0.0
11-5	6.2%	0.8		0.0	0.2	0.4	0.2	0.0
10-6	0.9%	0.1				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
9-7	0.0%
8-8	0.0%

Total	34.7%	34.7		24.0	8.2	2.2	0.3	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	2.9%		84.8%	84.8%		15.2												0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.7	1.3	0.4
15-1	8.4%		76.2%	76.2%		15.6													0.0	0.1	0.4	1.4	4.5	2.0
14-2	11.7%		59.8%	59.8%		15.9														0.0	0.1	0.5	6.4	4.7
13-3	14.7%		43.1%	43.1%		15.9															0.1	0.2	6.1	8.4
12-4	14.8%		30.4%	30.4%		16.0															0.0	0.1	4.4	10.3
11-5	13.3%		19.6%	19.6%		16.0																0.0	2.6	10.7
10-6	11.2%		10.9%	10.9%		16.0																	1.2	10.0
9-7	8.8%		4.9%	4.9%		16.0																	0.4	8.3
8-8	5.9%		3.3%	3.3%		16.0																	0.2	5.7
7-9	3.9%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.0	3.9
6-10	2.3%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.0	2.3
5-11	1.1%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	1.1
4-12	0.5%																							0.5
3-13	0.3%																							0.3
2-14	0.1%																							0.1
1-15	0.0%																							0.0
0-16

Total	100%		31.2%	31.2%	0.0%	15.8												0.0	0.0	0.2	0.9	2.9	27.1	68.8		0.0%